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BEYOND ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS : DID NOTA OF ESM UNDID BJP—- WATCH OUT FOR APRIL 2019 !!!!!
In my way of thinking, loss in five states assembly elections in December 2018 is a wake up call for Modi and BJP . It was needed. Arrogance had become Modi and BJP’s USP. BJP leadership must learn its lessons and work to turn the tables on her opponents. Nothing much has been lost. They faced 15 years incumbency in two states and 5 years in the third. Inspite of people’s wrath against BJP governments , Congress has just managed to sneak in by the dint of the stroke of luck.
This victory might have been orchestrated by NOTA option in the EVM. i won’t be surprised if bulk of this NOTA option was exercised by ESM ( Ex Servicemen— who, definitely, are unhappy with BJP but certainly do not like Congress). In Rajasthan there were 15 constituencies where winning margin was less than 500 and NOTA votes were more than 1000.
Rajasthan being the frontline state of ESM , it would not be a surprise if they have not only preferred NOTA but also voted against BJP. In 2014 elections, ESM had wholeheartedly supported BJP . They do influence large chunk of seats in J&K, Punjab , Haryana, Delhi , Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, UP, BIHAR ,Jharkhand, MP, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Assam and North East States .
BJP and Modi must do something to win them back , if it wants to return to power in 2019. It must note the fact that out of nearly 350 seats in these states, ESM can influence around 200 seats . They would be a trump card for any political party .
In MP, the margin of victory in 22 Constituencies is less than 1000 votes while NOTA votes were more than 1200. And final tally of Congress and BJP is 114 and 109 respectively. It is no victory as it does not allow congress to form Government on its own strength. It is seeking support of minor parties . Congress must worry because minor parties would seek their bigger pound of flesh. In certain constituencies BJP lost by less than 500 votes. Therefore it was NOT Congress victory but loss of local leadership of BJP.. Look at things positively because the glass is half full and not half empty .
Accordingly, If you look at the results—- vote share of BJP in MP is still higher (41% of BJP to 40.09% of Congress ) though only by 0.01 % . In Rajasthan Congress it is around 40::39 ratio and Chhattisgarh it is about 42:: 33 ratio . Therefore even after this verdict , BJP would have got 30 out of 65 parliament seat .
Point to remember is that it is not a vote against Modi but local leaders who failed to deliver in local issues. Statements such as , VASUNDRA JI KI KHAIR NAHI; MIDI JI SE BAIR NAHI do reflect this assessment . If it is so, people will vote differently in April- May 2019. They will vote for a national cause .
However BJP has to get serious. It must avoid two or three issues — such as Beef eating & Ram Temple at Ayudhiya and Reservations. Let courts deal with it. Opposition parties would like it to get involved in this controversies. It must undertake some populist measure as pet issues.
It is a historical fact that having been enslaved for almost 1000 years , Indian population has become addicted to FREEBIES as mercies from the RULER. The policy of reservation is product of this mindset. It is result of this FREEBIES PSYCHE that “Godmen”, dome a dozen, roam this Land called India.
Given a choice , Indians detest to work for prosperity. They want it delivered to them by God’s mercy. Begging is a natural habit in this country. No wonder votes can be purchased by politicians by a bottle of country liquor. Narender Modi has to become realistic on these issues. No body in this country is interested about GDP growth or figures of fiscal deficit. It is day to day expenses which affect the middle class and poor BJP and Modi would have to pay attention towards rural and farming community .
The Indian public does not understand fiscal deficit, and is not bothered whether it is 2.4% or 3.4%. They do not understand that subsidies and freebies mean borrowing and borrowing, which have to be paid back, some day, by someone.
The Indian public is not bothered about GDP growth rate, which actually increasesed from 3.8% to 7.4% for the last four years, and is more than that of the USA, the UK, and Japan. The Indian public will always complain. If it is not about the price of onions or daal, it will be about petrol or diesel. They must get everything cheap, but at the same time farmers must get a good price.
Don't ask Indians to change old habits. It is the government's duty to change everything. The Indian public is not bothered about fixing issues in the long run. They want everything today. Not even today. NOW! The Indian public has a very short memory and a narrow vision. They forget and forgive past wrongs very easily.
They instinctively vote according to caste patterns. Casteism is the major enemy of Indian democracy / politics. It divides the Indian youth, keeping them away from growth. And Pakistan and China, promote caste / religious divides in India, with the help of India's own people, because both these countries directly depend on India for an open market, affecting their GDP.
Indian defence systems are stronger as compared to five years ago, and Pakistan and other countries are unable to control India. Therefore they are funding billions, to destroy the Indian system, and only one man is fighting this. But Indians are unaware of this.
Now then, if the PM continues fixing long term problems for the remaining 5 months, he will lose in 2019. A dead soldier cannot do anything for his country. He must live on, to come back and fight on.
So, unfortunately, the PM must become a politician for the remaining 5 months. If the public wants cheap petrol and diesel, give it to them. If farmers want a loan waiver, give it to them. They don't know about "sabka saath sabka vikas".
The PM should "take 5 month's leave" from being a statesman, and become a politician. After a victory in 2019, he can return to being a statesman, because a nation can grow only under a statesman, and not under a politician. Further, Modi must exploit the links of Congress and other opposition parties with Pakistan and China. It must manage vernacular press and local electronic media.
It must concentrate on UP, BIHAR, MAHARASHTRA and KARNATKA. Do not talk about Ayudhya Mandir, Reservation and Beef. Try and gain 45-50 seats in UP if not 73 as in 2014. The loss of the seats in these states be compensated by alliance with regional parties in Telengana, Tamil Nadu and Odisha. Launch a frontal attack on Congress for non delivery on farmers loan waiver as promised in Rajasthan and MP. Party has to go all out and start it now. No need to fall into congress trap of confrontation. This is what Rahul Gandhi and his advisors want. In fact expose Rahul’s Brahaminism and it’s corruption.
BEYOND ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS : DID NOTA OF ESM UNDID BJP—- WATCH OUT FOR APRIL 2019 !!!!!
In my way of thinking, loss in five states assembly elections in December 2018 is a wake up call for Modi and BJP . It was needed. Arrogance had become Modi and BJP’s USP. BJP leadership must learn its lessons and work to turn the tables on her opponents. Nothing much has been lost. They faced 15 years incumbency in two states and 5 years in the third. Inspite of people’s wrath against BJP governments , Congress has just managed to sneak in by the dint of the stroke of luck.
This victory might have been orchestrated by NOTA option in the EVM. i won’t be surprised if bulk of this NOTA option was exercised by ESM ( Ex Servicemen— who, definitely, are unhappy with BJP but certainly do not like Congress). In Rajasthan there were 15 constituencies where winning margin was less than 500 and NOTA votes were more than 1000.
Rajasthan being the frontline state of ESM , it would not be a surprise if they have not only preferred NOTA but also voted against BJP. In 2014 elections, ESM had wholeheartedly supported BJP . They do influence large chunk of seats in J&K, Punjab , Haryana, Delhi , Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, UP, BIHAR ,Jharkhand, MP, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Assam and North East States .
BJP and Modi must do something to win them back , if it wants to return to power in 2019. It must note the fact that out of nearly 350 seats in these states, ESM can influence around 200 seats . They would be a trump card for any political party .
In MP, the margin of victory in 22 Constituencies is less than 1000 votes while NOTA votes were more than 1200. And final tally of Congress and BJP is 114 and 109 respectively. It is no victory as it does not allow congress to form Government on its own strength. It is seeking support of minor parties . Congress must worry because minor parties would seek their bigger pound of flesh. In certain constituencies BJP lost by less than 500 votes. Therefore it was NOT Congress victory but loss of local leadership of BJP.. Look at things positively because the glass is half full and not half empty .
Accordingly, If you look at the results—- vote share of BJP in MP is still higher (41% of BJP to 40.09% of Congress ) though only by 0.01 % . In Rajasthan Congress it is around 40::39 ratio and Chhattisgarh it is about 42:: 33 ratio . Therefore even after this verdict , BJP would have got 30 out of 65 parliament seat .
Point to remember is that it is not a vote against Modi but local leaders who failed to deliver in local issues. Statements such as , VASUNDRA JI KI KHAIR NAHI; MIDI JI SE BAIR NAHI do reflect this assessment . If it is so, people will vote differently in April- May 2019. They will vote for a national cause .
However BJP has to get serious. It must avoid two or three issues — such as Beef eating & Ram Temple at Ayudhiya and Reservations. Let courts deal with it. Opposition parties would like it to get involved in this controversies. It must undertake some populist measure as pet issues.
It is a historical fact that having been enslaved for almost 1000 years , Indian population has become addicted to FREEBIES as mercies from the RULER. The policy of reservation is product of this mindset. It is result of this FREEBIES PSYCHE that “Godmen”, dome a dozen, roam this Land called India.
Given a choice , Indians detest to work for prosperity. They want it delivered to them by God’s mercy. Begging is a natural habit in this country. No wonder votes can be purchased by politicians by a bottle of country liquor. Narender Modi has to become realistic on these issues. No body in this country is interested about GDP growth or figures of fiscal deficit. It is day to day expenses which affect the middle class and poor BJP and Modi would have to pay attention towards rural and farming community .
The Indian public does not understand fiscal deficit, and is not bothered whether it is 2.4% or 3.4%. They do not understand that subsidies and freebies mean borrowing and borrowing, which have to be paid back, some day, by someone.
The Indian public is not bothered about GDP growth rate, which actually increasesed from 3.8% to 7.4% for the last four years, and is more than that of the USA, the UK, and Japan. The Indian public will always complain. If it is not about the price of onions or daal, it will be about petrol or diesel. They must get everything cheap, but at the same time farmers must get a good price.
Don't ask Indians to change old habits. It is the government's duty to change everything. The Indian public is not bothered about fixing issues in the long run. They want everything today. Not even today. NOW! The Indian public has a very short memory and a narrow vision. They forget and forgive past wrongs very easily.
They instinctively vote according to caste patterns. Casteism is the major enemy of Indian democracy / politics. It divides the Indian youth, keeping them away from growth. And Pakistan and China, promote caste / religious divides in India, with the help of India's own people, because both these countries directly depend on India for an open market, affecting their GDP.
Indian defence systems are stronger as compared to five years ago, and Pakistan and other countries are unable to control India. Therefore they are funding billions, to destroy the Indian system, and only one man is fighting this. But Indians are unaware of this.
Now then, if the PM continues fixing long term problems for the remaining 5 months, he will lose in 2019. A dead soldier cannot do anything for his country. He must live on, to come back and fight on.
So, unfortunately, the PM must become a politician for the remaining 5 months. If the public wants cheap petrol and diesel, give it to them. If farmers want a loan waiver, give it to them. They don't know about "sabka saath sabka vikas".
The PM should "take 5 month's leave" from being a statesman, and become a politician. After a victory in 2019, he can return to being a statesman, because a nation can grow only under a statesman, and not under a politician. Further, Modi must exploit the links of Congress and other opposition parties with Pakistan and China. It must manage vernacular press and local electronic media.
It must concentrate on UP, BIHAR, MAHARASHTRA and KARNATKA. Do not talk about Ayudhya Mandir, Reservation and Beef. Try and gain 45-50 seats in UP if not 73 as in 2014. The loss of the seats in these states be compensated by alliance with regional parties in Telengana, Tamil Nadu and Odisha. Launch a frontal attack on Congress for non delivery on farmers loan waiver as promised in Rajasthan and MP. Party has to go all out and start it now. No need to fall into congress trap of confrontation. This is what Rahul Gandhi and his advisors want. In fact expose Rahul’s Brahaminism and it’s corruption.
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