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Tuesday, December 09, 2014

OF 'ENFORCED', BAD AND UGLY "MISTAKE" !

OF 'MISTAKEN', BAD AND UGLY "MISTAKE" !
'Mistaken' Mistake
On November 04,2014 at Chhatergam, Anantnag in South Kashmir, a patrol party of Rashtriya rifle shoots at a Maruti car due to MISTAKEN IDENTITY because the car did not stop at the two road blocks set up by the patrol party. As a results, two youths get killed. Loss of innocent human lives is unacceptable. It was never intended by the Patrol party. But it had happened due to wrong judgment.
May be , I would call it an ENFORCED ERROR by instant conduct of the boys NOT stopping , when signaled to stop. I do take it that they were innocents but it could have been otherwise, too. We must know that terrorists do not move about with head bands. And Kashmir is a definitely a disturbed area. Soldiers are deployed to do a job. How are they to make out, who was innocent and who was not?
It is very well for media and local politicians to make noise on this ENFORCED ERROR. But certainly, it was NOT a mistake. In a similar kind of incident in Jorhat , Assam, on 26/27 January 1990, my unit had shot at an Army Brigadier and wounded him because his gypsy, too, had not stopped at the road blocks. As a CO, I was under a lot of pressure to punish the shooters but Chief of Staff 3 Corps then, Maj General Ian D'cruz and the Corps Commander Lt General Jameel Mehmood understood this ENFORCED ERROR and refused to accept it as a mistake of the Patrol Party. Instead, they patted the boys for good shooting.
We must understand that JUDGMENT OF ERROR took place in the Chattergam incident because of the partial fault of the boys, too. They enforced this error on the patrol party. Unfortunately, media and local population does not understand this because they do not know the complexities of ongoing WOM ( War by Other Means). It is no more insurgency or a proxy war but a FULL FLEDGED WAR . Unfortunately, army and its hierarchy has not been able to explain the nature of this war to the people in general. How can they when the top brass of the army,too, thinks that it was MILITANCY or INSURGENCY or even PROXY WAR. Pakistan had evolved this format of war years back and it has skillfully employed its ' Irregular Soldiers' to bleed Indian Army over the las 25 years in Kashmir. The basic ingredient of this war is to "Blow Hot; Blow Cold". Therefore, such errors on you will be enforced. It was for the army to take it in its own stride and not to go with a whipping leash to whip its erring boys. Such "MISTAKEN IDENTITY MISTAKES" will occur when you fight WOM. You got to ignore them.
Bad Mistake
Chattergam incident had created a lot of hue and cry. Such incidents are the oxygen for the WOM. They ought to be avoided but there was no impregnable military procedures/ drills/tactics which can prevent them. When army is deployed in disturbed areas, it implies all other state instruments of restoration have failed and army is the last resort. Its failure means the failure of the nation. Therefore it has no scope for failure. Some lapses might take place in the course of performance of the duty , they ought to be accepted.
What is not acceptable is to term ERROR OF JUDGMENT by your own men as MISTAKES. It generates a guilt consciousness amongst the soldiers and imposes caution on them. This is a sure recipe for army's failure. And army can only allow to afford its to fail at peril to Nation's integrity. Media and local population would cry hoarse, but army has to see things through its own prism. Therefore, it was a big MISTAKE, a bad one perhaps, to publicly call the Chattergam incident a " Mistake". He could have blasted the perpetrators and their commanders in his internal messages but to say so on the public platform was a HYMALYAN BLUNDER.
It is NOT to say that soldiers indulging in wrong-doing, such as Machhil incident of 2010, have to be let off. We must know that soldiers do come from the same Indian stock as most of our civilian friends do. Obviously, they have the same characteristics as a modern Indian man has. They are not holy men from heavens. They, too , are bound to be tempted to indulge in activities detrimental to overall aim and objectives of the army. No amount of training and discipline can wash out this characteristic. It only be kept under check through strict vigilance and severe action.They ought to be given exemplary punishments to send the correct message to the environments.
Punish them but do not thump your chest in the public and disgrace the whole army. A CRPF officer, writing to an Army Major, though sarcastically, says : 'Is veham ko bna hi rehne do to achha hai…taki janta ka honsla bna rahe..----इस बहम को बना रहने दो तो अच्छा है......ताकि जनता का हौंसला बना रहे' (In order to maintain public confidence, it is better to maintain the credibility of the Army) . He has hit the nail on its head.
Calling Chattergam incident a 'Mistake' and then thumping chest in the public about the punishment meted out to Machhil wrong- doers was a real BAD MISTAKE , nay a 'Himalayan Blunder'--- which has plummeted Indian Army's image many notches and demoralized its rank and file. What does the army want from its soldiers ? To play safe? Well! This is the message when you say Chattergam incident was a mistake.
Ugly Mistake!
While Army commander and Corps commander had blundered in calling the Anantnag/ Chattergam incident a 'mistake', there comes a bombshell from our honorable Prime Minister in Srinagar on December 07,2014. I am shocked and do wonder if MISTAKE STORY was scripted in New Delhi and Army Commander had just obediently played his part in the sordid affair. I hope it does not send the message that a professional soldier of his repute and competence has finally succumbed to his post retirement ambitions. I do not know him but people who know him talk very highly of his professionalism.
I, therefore, hope what Prime Minister NARENDER Modi said , does not have his concurrence. Here is what Mr. NARENDER MODI, Prime Minister of India in Srinagar on December 07, 2014 had said,
"-----For the first time in 30 years, the Army admitted its mistake. This is the Modi government's doing. An inquiry commission probed the matter and those who fired the bullets were charged. This is proof of my good intentions. I have come to provide justice to you."
What he means is that army had committed blunders in the past but now on his prompting army had accepted its mistake. Besides, he drumbeats that mistake-makers of Chattergam have been been charged and punished. The case of INSTANCE JUSTICE! ( Sic). Won't such statements from the head of the government make soldiers PLAY SAFE in future. Haven't we fallen into the booby trap of WOM predators?
It is a very very big, nay, an UGLY MISTAKE. Besides, it divests army of its apolitical characteristic. Has the army commander realized, what a blunder he has committed? His statement has been used for political purposes. I know it is wrong on the part of Prime Minister . But , he is a politician. He has to see his political interests? The question is who must see the army's interests? Obviously, it is the top echelons of the Army. But, then,when Army has its SUCCESSION PLANS for the ARMY CHIEFS and other top appointments, who cares for the army. The policies action of the army had begun when succession plan for the Army Chiefs had been worked out in 2005, under the UPA government.
Will the present Army Chief and Northern Army Commander show some mettle in them and walk up to the Prime Minister and tell him that he should not have involved army in his political battles. If they do not, it is a poor reflection on them and damages army's very credibility what that CRPF Deputy Commandant had tauntingly said. We lose that facade of 'Fairness and Just'. We have been fooled for the OROP, it is still accepted. But using army for political purposes is just not accepted. Let the army not become a pawn in the chess board game of politicians. It must stop and standing upright both of you can make it stop.

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DECIPHERING CHINA's INDIA STRATEGY AND IN DIAN RESPONSE !







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http://www.dsalert.org/dialogue/2014/11/deciphering-chinas-india-strategy-and-indian-response/


dsa-dialogue
Above analysis by CIA as to how China befooled the Indian leadership prior to 1962 War is a clear cut testimony of China’s longstanding dislike of India. Come what may, it would never consider India a friend but a competitor, who can put spokes in the wheel of China’s global ambitions. Some recent actions of China with respect to India must not surprise defence planners in India. They ought to know that China can never be India’s friend in the true sense of the meaning of the word “Friendship”. Her overt gestures of friendship and peace are basically deceptive acts to hide her real intentions. China’s aggressive posture towards India and her hectic activities of rail-road construction in the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR) along with positioning of its troops in the FCNA of Pakistan, some two years back, do not hide her future intentions about India. PLA (Chinese Army) recent forays over the last few months into Indian side of the Line of Control in Ladakh, do not exhibit any signs of real friendship.
China, in 1962 and a little prior to this, had annexed approximately 38,000 sq km of Indian territory in Jammu and Kashmir. Besides, in an agreement reached with China in 1963, Pakistan had ceded 5,180 sq km J&K territory in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir to China. China claims approximately 90,000 sq km of Indian territory in Arunachal Pradesh and about 2,000 sq km in the Middle Sector of the India-China boundary. China has often asserted that it does not recognise Arunachal Pradesh. There are, thus, serious fault lines in Sino-Indian relations which do not make them “genuine friends”, despite overtures of visible friendship by China, whether it was a recent warm handshake between Indian and Chinese Prime Ministers in Australia, during G-20 Meet in November 2014 or Chinese Strongman and President Xi Jinping’s much hyped visit to India in September 2014.
Before we go crystal gazing any further, let us see some of the recent acts of China:
(a) Though there have been reports of the presence of Chinese around 10,000 troops in POK for some time but their purpose was not known. It has now become clear that they were not there merely for maintenance and construction of roads but for a strategic design. It has been reported by the intelligence agencies and there are also press reports that China has been training Pakistani troops along the Line of Control in POK. Is it an act of Friendship?
(b) On April 15, 2013, some 50 PLA troops intruded into Indian territory, up to 19 km in Daulat Beg Oldi (DBO) Sector of Ladakh and established a tented camp. Thereafter PLA has flexed its muscles two to three times in the same place. Aggressive posture by PLA was aimed at sizing up India’s military prowess and its ability to question China. Are they friendly acts?
(c) A nuclear Submarine from China had recently anchored at a Sri Lankan port as part of its much claimed “String of Pearls” policy. Its ‘string of pearls’ spreads from Gwador in Pakistan through Hambantota in Sri Lanka to Myanmar. Besides, China had been busy in making forays into South Asia around India.
(d) For some years, China has been issuing Stappled Visas to Kashmiris, thus questioning its accession to India. Besides, it is in occupation of some 43,180 sq km of Indian territory in J&K.
(e) China has been slowly and steadily cozying up to India’s neighbours and making them hostile towards India. Pakistan, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Myanmar have fallen into her pocket and now Bangladesh too, is being won over.
(f) In the past, China is known to have provided arms support and moral support to India’s separatists from the Northeast states. Naga hostiles and ULFA hostiles have been provided safe sanctuaries in China. Now Maoists and Naxalites have also been provided material support and training.
China has been covertly conducting ‘Cyber Warfare’ against India, aimed at affecting the command and control systems by virus attack on Indian official computers, either to make them dysfunctional or hack them to extract vital information. Towards this end, China has recently demonstrated her capability to shoot a satellite, which can cripple command and control systems based on satellite communications.
Also, China has been carrying out a clandestine trade war to capture markets frequented by Indian goods – like the Nigerian Malaria drug incident, where spurious medicines were being sold under brand name India. We all know that some months back, China had tried to block aid to Arunachal Pradesh from Asian Development Bank.
A Chinese defence strategist, Zhong Guo Zhan Lue Gang wrote an article, published in Chinese language on the Internet, on August 08, 2009. Though the article was meant for domestic consumption of China but it was linked to Chinese International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Therefore, it could not be ignored that it was not China’s official thinking. The article was later deleted from the website. The main thrust of the article was to break up India into 20-30 states. To do so, it advocated usage of hostile neighbours such as Pakistan and Maoist Nepal and cultivation of other countries around India.
Therefore one ought to understand that China has been steadily pursuing a policy of not only containing India both economically and militarily but break it up through internal implosion, being fused through an “Outsourced” WOM (War by Other Means) to Pakistan. Thus, China’s overall military strategy against India has been four pronged:
(a) Contain and isolate India by making her neighbours hostile and unfriendly.
(b) Outsource its low cost proxy war to Pakistan and Maoists / Naxalites by:
(i) Supporting and encouraging internal insurgencies brewing in India and thus break-up India through implosion.
(ii) Using Pakistan to the maximum to retard India’s military and economic growth.
(c) Dominate sea-lanes around India through a ‘String of Pearls’ policy.
(d) Befool Indian leadership and Indian public through overt goodwill gestures in the interregnum.

While dealing with China, India cannot lower its guard towards Pakistan. It is going to play “China game”, no matter what India does to mitigate her grievances. Pakistan is unreliable and India must NOT fall into “Peace Talks” trap of Pakistan. Instead, it should prepare grounds to engage her in Balochistan and KPK (KHYBER PAKHTOONKHWA) provinces. Time for open support to Pakhtoons, as does Pakistan in Kashmir. Show it to Pakistan that it has its own vulnerabilities in Karachi, Sindh and Tribal region of Waziristan. Pakistan is China’s main weapon against India. It is going to provide her all help, other than physical intervention in a military conflict.
Time to tell China that its Achilles heel lay in autonomous regions of Tibet and Outer Mangolia. Besides, UIGHAR Muslims of erstwhile East Turkistan or the Xinxiang province of China are as good a game as are the Kashmiri Muslims. Mainland China, too has serious economic and social problems. Democratic movement might have been checked but its simmering. The flames could rise any day if fuel is added. China’s neighbours like Vietnam, Taiwan and ASEAN nations are also not comfortable with China. They need a shoulder to rest and India can provide this shoulder, once it is clear to its Political leadership the significance of its “Look East Policy.
In conclusion, one would only say that India has to develop a counter strategy which would effectively deal with all the four ingredients of China’s India strategy. Priority must be given to home made insurgencies, such as Maoists and J&K Militancies. India must develop strategic and military partnerships with Australia, Japan and Vietnam. It ought to cozy up to ASEAN states besides mollifying its Eastern and Southern neighbours. Pakistan must be kept at bay in KPK and Balochistan.

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