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Sunday, June 25, 2017

TRUTH ON KASHMIR: MASKED BY LIES



TRUTH ON KASHMIR : MASKED IN DELIBERATE LIES!

Unfortunately, Indian youth is unaware of some real facts on Kashmir. Our history books are silent on this. And no efforts have been made by successive Indian governments to educate our youth on Kashmir. Thus falsehoods spread by our enemies have become truth with even our educated youth.

Most of us are unaware about ancient and recent History of Kashmir. The word Kashmir has two tales. Simply put, one says it is made of two Sanskrit roots --- KA and SHIMIR ---- KA means water and SHIMIR means drained or edged out---- with reference to Lake Wular. Valley was a frozen lake in the ancient times.

Second theory says it owes its origin to Sage Kashyap, God father of Lake dwellers (Naga people----Ruled by Kashyap's son Neel Nag) --- --- Sage Kashyap helped kill a monster, called Jallodhav--- son of another notorious monster called SANGHRASUR. Since Kashyap got Monster Jallodhav killed, its name become KASHYAPMAR and later corrupted to Kashmir. It is up to you to take whatever you feel comfortable with.

Some recent historical facts need reiteration here :--

1. India in 1947 was governed by Britain in two ways:-

a) Directly governed by Queen/ King of England through Viceroy was British India --- it was to be divided into India and Pakistan as per the "Indian Independence Act" of 06 June 1947 passed by British parliament.

b) Indirectly governed through Resident Agents were 562 Princely states having separate PARAMONUNTCY treaties with Britain, who, if not joining India or Pakistan, were free to become Independent. Besides, Junagadh, Patiala, Fareedkot, Hyderabad , Bahawalpur and many other small states, two important such states were J&K and KALAT (Balochistan), who had inclination to go independent. In fact, Kalat (Balochistan) did declare her independence on 11 August 1947 and stayed a separate country till annexed by Pakistan in April 1948. India, under Nehru, did not protest this annexation.

2. Nehru's blunder of going to UNO even after Maharaja Hari Singh of J& K had acceded to India in accordance with the provisions of Indian Independence Act - June 1947 passed by British Parliament.

3. Even this was done under a wrong charter --- Instead of asking UN for EVICTION OF AGGRESSOR under Charter VI we went under Charter VII for SETTLEMENT OF DISPUTE--- which was non existent after Accession to India by Maharaja

4.. UN resolution No 648 of 13 August 1948 had three clauses :-

a) Pakistan withdraw all its troops from territories of J& K State.

b) India to remove adequate forces from J&K ( NOT ALL)

c) India to organise plebiscite after clauses a) & b) above were implemented.

Note this Plebiscite was to be done after clause a) and clause b) were implemented. BUT PAKISTAN REFUSED TO ACCEPT IT IN 1948 --- So, issue of Plebiscite died there and then.

5. Issue is whether UN had accepted J& K accession to India or not. If she had accepted then there was NO dispute. It was only to evict the aggressor. And if UN had not accepted the accession of J& K to India then Indian request to UNO was illegal and as such Resolution 648 was invalid as India had NO locus standii.

6. In 1972, according to Shimla Agreement both nations agreed to resolve Kashmir issue ( NOT DISPUTE) bilaterally. Thus bringing end to UN intervention and making resolution 648 and others virtually dead

7. It is believed there was an unwritten Clause to Shimla Agreement -1972- which said that LC ( Line Of Control) of 1971 would be the IB (International BORDER). Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto had pleaded with Madam Gandhi to implement this clause. He is alleged to have said : MADAM MUJH PE BHAROSA KARO ( TRUST ME MADAM) . It was then, she agreed to release 93000 Prisoner of Pakistan. It was also agreed that Pakistan can directly control GILGIT - HUNZA regio, which Bhutto did in 1974 and India did not react as per Shimla Agreement's secret clause.

8. Unfortunately thereafter Indra Gandhi got involved in her internal problem of Emergency and Bhutto got hanged in 1978 --- Indra was assassinated in Oct 1980--- thus SECRET CLAUSE became dysfunctional and went to grave with them.

9. Another aspect which needs clarification is why did not Pakistan accept UN resolution 648 which asked for plebiscite to be Organised after Pakistan withdrew her troops. It must be noted that Muslim League of Jinnah had NO influence in the Kashmir valley, then. The Muslims of Kashmir were then with Sheikh Abdulla of National Conference who favored India over Pakistan. It must be also understood that there was no option/ choice for independence in the UN resolution of 648 it was either India or Pakistan. Sheikh Abdulla preferred Secular India over Theocratic Pakistan, if NO choice of independence was given. Maharaja Hari Singh had also preferred independence but after Pakistani tribal invasion of Oct 1947, he had no choice but accede to India.

10. These are some facts which are not known to people and often a confusion is created about Indian stance on Kashmir. There are many other facts on Mountbatten's Manipulation, Nehru's mishandling and MA Jinnah's Health Problem ( He was terminally ill with TB) which led him to annex Kashmir by Force --- which forced Maharaja and Shekh Abdul's to opt for India.

These facts need to be brought out to our youth so as for them to understand the real issues on Kashmir. In fact it needs to be taught to our school children as part of our history. Let them know as to why KASHMIR was part of India legally and legitimately. Also, they must know that KASHMIR is part of J&K and not whole of J& K state. And what is with Pakistan is NOT Kashmir but part of some territory of erstwhile J& K. The portion with Pakistan is certainly NOT to be called POK but POT JAK--- Pakistan Occupied Territory of Jammu and Kashmir.

In my endeavour to educate all Indians, particularly our youth, I have brought out all these above facts in my book KASHMIR - A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE, published by TURNING POINT, PUBLISHERS, NOIDA, INDIA.

It is available in Hard Bound Cover and Paper back at www.amazon.com and also at www.flipkart.com

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Tuesday, April 11, 2017

EXCERPT-1 FROM MY BOOK ---- KASHMIR ! A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE




I have a friend from North Kashmir. He gave me this story to motivate me to write a book on KashMir. It is published by TURNING POINT PUBLISHERS , New Delhi. This story is part of the book, titled, "KASHMIR- A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE". My friend hails from Kachhama-Tregham area of North Kashmir. His name is Kalmuddin. He is very intelligent and well informed but poor and illiterate as is the fate of most ordinary but well-meaning people. The year he gave me this story was the year of KARGI-99 Episode.

Now read the story--------from the Section: GO AWAY HISTORIANS, THEY , TOO, KNOW THEIR HISTORY!

There lived a man named KHUDA BUX in TAREGHAM, North Kashmir. He was god fearing, pious and sagacious. He was so gentle and nice that he couldn't hurt a fly. He was respected and likened by everyone. He offered NAMAZ five times a day. It is said that the tales of his piety and saintly ways reached the GOD. He did not believe that in such hard days there could be a man of KHUDA BUX's description. GOD decided to see it for himself. Also the tales of the beauty of KASHMIR enamored him. He handed over the reign of HEAVENS to his deputy GOD and came to see KHUDA BUX in Kashmir. GOD landed in TAREGHAM and saw KHUDA BUX. He was impressed. He decided that he would take KHUDA BUX to heavens along with him. He checked up the details of KHUDA BUX’s earthly life and realised that he had some more time left so HE decided to have some holidays in GUL MARG. Thus god became busy in merry-making.

It so happened, one day in the year 1990, there was an encounter at TAREGHAM amongst the militants and the security forces. Both sides suffered heavy casualities. Unfortunately, in the cross fire, even KHUDA BUX got killed. All the dead persons were taken to the chambers of PRESIDING GOD of the heavens. As soon as a person of security force will march in the presiding god would ask him the place he had belonged to. Each one would give out his state in India. The presiding GOD would command, "A SOLDIER DIED IN BATTLE! MARCH HIM INTO HEAVENS." Next was the turn of the militants. As soon as a militant would tell him that he had come from PAKISTAN, the PRESIDING GOD will announce, "MILITARY & POVERTY PUSHED HIM INTO THIS, HE HAD NO CHOICE; MARCH HIM INTO HEAVENS." Finally came the turn of KHUDA BUX.

As soon as Khuda Bux majestically walked in for a royal treatment, for he was a man of no sin, the presiding GOD, shouted, "Where do you come from"? Holding his head high and Chest straight, Khuda Bux replied, " Kashmir, Sir, Kashmir". The presiding GOD snarled, " Go back you RASCAL." Instantly, KhudaBux was thrown to earth in Kashmir.

In the meanwhile, the actual GOD was happily enjoying his holidays in GULMARG. One day the real GOD met the spirit of Khuda Bux in GULMARG, by chance. GOD was stunned. He asked the Spirit as to what had happened? KHUDA BUX narrated his tale of woe.The real GOD was totally cut off with his deputy for his lack of justice and judgement and he decided to undo the injustice to KHUDA BUX. He asked the spirit of Khuda Bux to come along to heavens with him.

As soon as they reached the gates of heavens, the real god sent Khuda Bux ahead of him to the chambers of the presiding GOD. Moment he entered the presiding god got furious and shouted," I told you to go back you rascal". Immediately, The REAL GOD entered and scolded his deputy for his poor judgment and injustice." The erstwhile DEPUTY AND NOW PRESIDING God retorted," You too go back, u ras---"Real God was shocked and asked ,"WHAT FOR?" The Presiding God responded," TO FIND OUT THE TRUTH AS TO HOW KHUDA BUX AND HIS PEOPLE HAVE CONVERTED A LIVING HEAVEN INTO HELL".

It is said ever since then the REAL GOD and the spirit of KHUDA BUX have been roaming in the valley of Kashmir to find out as to how it happened. Every time they work out an answer some more KNOTTY questions spring up. They are thus stuck in the time capsule.

When Kalmuddin narrated this story to me, I chuckled, " Oh! Goodness gracious! GOD on their side, yet Kashmir is tormenting."

My friend, Kalmuddin butted in , " NO Sir, Even GOD can not find solution to Kashmir Problem."

Thus, the KASHMIR POT KEEPS BOILING for continuously. ANSWER? Read my book , KASHMIR--A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE" --- by TURNING POINT PUBLISHERS !

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FUTURE PRIME MINISTER OF INDIA: ADITYA SIGH NEGI @ YOGI ADITYANATH

FUTURE PRIME MINISTER OF INDIA: AJAY SINGH BISHT ALIAS YOGI ADITYANATH

Indian media, particularly English, and opposition leaders are busy these days demonising Yogi Adityanath Nath, newly elected Chief Minister ( CM) of Uttar Pradesh. The more they criticise him, more his popularity is zooming. It makes people like me sit up and watch him and listen to him. He seems to be knowledgeable and confident. His logic speaks for him--- his biggest attribute is his non-assemblage of family baggage with him, which is the undoing of most political leaders.

His five time election win for Loksabha show that he was a mass leader , which is a rarity in the present political stratagem of the nation. This man, mark my words, is destined to be the future Prime Minister of India, once Narender Modi Innings comes to an end----- may be by 2024 or even by 2029. Age is in his favour. He is only 44 years old. He will give Rahul Gandhi , projected PM candidate of Congress, a run for his miney.

To be very honest, I claim to be well informed politically, but I did not know that Yogi's real name was Ajay Singh Bisht and that he was from Uttarakhand. I am sure most others also did not know. Media never told people that he was a Maths graduate and from Uttarakhand. He was always shown as a flag bearer of Hindutava---- almost inferring and sounding as a HINDU TERRORIST, which is now proving to be a first degree falsehood of leftist and Congress sponsored/ paid Media. It also shows now that all these caste and polarisation allegations against him were politically created bumps of misinformation to retard his political growth. No doubts, like Narender Modi, they would continue to halt him in his march but he would smother them all. The man needs to be watched for his performance in UP.

This man, as against media charges, had never flaunted his Rajpoot caste and graduate qualifications. What was surprising that over the last 20 years, no one knew his real name. He was projected as another uneducated religious bigot. I always thought so. But his logic seems appealing to me. He is more qualified than Pappu and host of other big- wigs of Political spectrum from Sonia Gandhi to Tejasvi Yadav ( Dy CM if Bihar). Jayalalitha was only 12 th pass but she was a mass leader.

He is knowledgeable and confident. His last speech in Lok Sabha speaks volumes about it. His reply to media questions on his speaking for Hindus is very very impressive. There are a number of You Tube videos where media is shown eating their words, while trying to show him as a monster. He claims that he was not anti- Muslims. In fact, in his Gorakhnath Math ( Religious seminary) at Gorakhpur , there are large number of Muslim employees. A Times of India article , the other day showed that he was loved by Muslims of Gorakhpur and Eastern UP. He is trusted and respected in the 34 districts of Eastern UP. If he manages UP well in next five years, his political stature is going to go up many notches up. In few years from now, he might be second only to Modi in political heirarchy of BJP . Watch him rise. He seems to have begun well.

There is a dialogue by a police inspector, portrayed by Satyen Kappu, in a Hindi Movie, BENAAM ,vintage 1970s , Starring Amitabh Bachchan and Mosami Chatterjee. It states : हर इन्सान को शरीफ़ होना चाहिए, मगर इतना भी नहीं कि शराफ़त से बुज़दिली की बू आए। one must ponder about this. Silent majority of this country ought to know this. Evil can not be wished away by closing one's eyes but by standing up to it. Silent majority must shed this Pigeon Mentality. Diamond only cuts diamond. Those who do not understand the language of peace, they ought to be spoken to in their language. Gone are the days of MK GANDHI --- peace does not come by turning your other cheek to the assailant but through the barrel of counter violence. Remember this.

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CHINA MAY MISCALCULATE: INDIA BE READY FOR A BLITZKRIEG ON CHINESE BORDERS!




CHINA MAY MISCALCULATE: INDIA BE READY FOR A BORDER BLITZKRIEG !

"-----With a GDP several times higher than that of India, military capabilities that can reach the Indian Ocean and having good relations with India's peripheral nations, coupled with the fact that India's turbulent northern state borders China, if China engages in a geopolitical game with India, will Beijing lose to New Delhi?" thunders a Chinese Newspaper Editorial.

China is fuming hot not because of His Holiness, Dalai Lama's visit to Arunachal Pradesh but the very audacity with which India has stood up to China's bullying tactics. It is angry because India has decided to act as an equiavalent of China in geopolitical and geostrategic matrix of the world.. China can not digest the fact that India can challenge her might. It continues to be drunk with 1962 victory, though conveniently forgetting massive drubbing it got in 1967 Nathula Incident. .

It is time for India to be ready for a surprise blitzkrieg by China to undermine her newly acquired confidence. To be prepared for the worst is the best Defence. How would or could China act is in two ways. i.e. Short Term and Long Term objectives.

The short term objective would be to capture Tawang - Lumla Area in Arunachal Pardesh in a swift and forceful military action along the border. Tawang has a second biggest Tibetan monastery. I was there as OC TROOPS in 1978-79--- it is a strategic place along borders with Bhutan. China claims it to be part of Tibet. This would be a very High value target for her not only to satisfy her claims but also pull down India's international image. India can not afford to lose this territory. Besides, along with this, China might launch a diversionary and a deceptive attack in Leh Area ,so as to threaten to capture DBO or Pankingtso lake in Dorbuk - Tangtse Area. It would be only to draw attention away from Tawang - Lumla Area. India needs to prepares itself well in both sectors.

The long term objective would be to break up India through internal explosion by supporting North East/Maoists/ J&K / Punjab Militancy. To do so, it would use Pakistan extensively. As it is, it had OUTSOURCED its War by Other Means ( WOM ) on India to Pakistan , some years back. It might now intensify by active support. As reported, China has already some 10-15000 troops in POK to support her CPEC venture to Gwador warm water port on the Persian Gulf.

China had made her intentions known of breaking up India into 20-30 states, way back in 2009, through an article in GLOBAL TIMES, her official mouth piece. Though , later article was withdrawn but the cat was out of the bag. It has been since pursuing it slowly but steadily through "String of pearls" policy to contain India and then IMPLODE it through home - grown insurgencies in North EAST, J&K, PUNJAB and Maoist Movement in Central and South India. Therefore , India must take these Chinese statements seriously and start working to not only counter them but also cause similar damage to China.

India needs to adopt a 'Tit for Tat' policy on China. It must tell China: if you throw pebbles at us, we would throw stones and boulders. China has Three vulnerable areas internally. They are , Xin jiang province of Uighr Muslims; Tibet and outer Mangolia., which can be exploited by India to spark insurgency conditions in China. Externally, China , too has it's hostile neighbors in Vietnam, Japan, Phillippines and Malasia. Do not forget to count USA, itching to corner China in South China sea.

Thus, India must begin to exploit this openly and make use of other powers of the region. We must get out of this Nehruvian soft corner towards about China, who had turned down UNSC seat in 1955 because of China. This was Nehru 's biggest blunder along with accepting suzerainty of China over Tibet and taking Kashmir issue to UN. In fact , Sardar Patel, had told Nehru, then, that he would repent for taking Kashmir issue to UN.. it was Nehru, who gave " BIG BROTHER STATUS" to China in 1950s that she continues to behave like this. .

After 1962 debacle, India became a laughing stock when Nehru begged world to help her against China. His NON- ALLIGNED friends had gone silent. John F Keneddy, US President then, rebuked India for not been able to stand against China for 24 hours , when we cried to USA for help.. Non- Allighment movement is dead today and India is struggling to get UNSC seat which was once offered to her on a platter. And it is China , who is opposing it , for whom Nehru had such a soft corner.

2017 can not be 1962. China knows it , too..Neither is there a Nehru to ignore Chinese threat to India. But China can always surprise India by a sudden move along the Arunachal border with a very limited objective. Time for India to to adopt an aggressive approach. If China attacks along Arunachal , India must open up other fronts to make her pay for her audacity. Also, India must support Uighr Muslims, in Xin Jiang province of China, openly. OBOR ( One Belt,One Road) to Gwador starts from Xinjiang province of Uighr Muslims. It can be tarpedoed through active insurgency, which can be further extended to Balochistan, thus make life difficult for China. Baloch insurgency is already a major concern for China and Pakistan. Time is also ripe to fuel Tibetan aspirations. It will engage PLA in controlling them, rather than nourishing desire to take away Tawang.

Time to act now------- do not surround yourself in political moralities. .Let these leftist sympathisers be kept in a check. Get Ready India. Do not say later that you were not warned. Chinese threats are real and they are probing attacks on your intentions. Show positive response to checkmate China. Same goes for Pakistan. Do not allow her to create a fence along Durand line. CPEC must be halted in its strides to hurt China and Pakistan equally.

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TECHNO SMART WARS OF THE FUTURE : OF SUPER SMART SOLDIERS & SUPER SMART WEAPONS !

TECHNO- SMART WARS OF THE FUTURE: LAT ( LEAN & THIN) ARMIES OF "SUPER SMART SOLDIERS" ! 
When on 07 April 2017, Syrian Airbase was struck by 59 Tom hawk missiles , fired from two US Aircraft carriers in the Mediterranean Sea, world saw heralding of "Super Smart War" of the 21st Century. It testifies old military saying that war in every age has its own form, weapons and dimensions. Revolutions in Military Affairs(RMA) have drastically changed the concept and nature of war in the 21st century. We are moving away from "soldier -heavy -wars " to TECHNO WARS. There would be no monkey dancing armies across enemy borders but remote controlled weapons zooming across the battlefields with no defined "fronts" and "Rears".
The future wars are going to be techno- smart wars of "Lean and Thin" Armies (LATA) with "Super Smart Soldiers", remotely handling "Super Smart Weapons" of much greater ranges with precision guided accuracy and exhibiting deadly lethality. Enhanced Range, deadly lethality and perfect accuracy not only lead to the rise of "Techno Smart Soldiers", who would be far away from the scene of physical objectives. Such Techno- Smart-wars would have no geographical limitation. Targets would not be only men and equipment in Olive green but entire war making potential of your adversary , from unarmed civilians to industrial and economic hubs. Definition of Combat Zone will include warring nations or a whole group of nations engaged in military conflict. 
"Individualisation" of social systems (breaking up of families) would also have its tell- tale effect on individualisation of combat philosophies. Industrial arena concept of Mass production has given way to " De- Massification" of production in a knowledge society, driven by Technological blast. It would also lead to " De- Massification" of armies and make them lean and thin. As a result, Customised Soldiers" would dominate the future battle fields. They would be tailor made to suit the "customised Wars". And best example of this is the "LONE WOLF SOLDIERS" of terrorist organisations. 
"Lone wolf attacks" by ISIS has turned the whole world into a Battle Zone. Belgium, France, Germany, UK and recently Sweden have been seen these attacks. Even USA has witnessed this enemy attacking at will at various places in USA. War has thus come at the doorstep of a common man. Soon these customised soldiers would engulf the whole world. 
Drone attacks by USA in Afghanistan and a recent missile attack on a Syrian Airbase have added new dimension to the conduct of the war in the 21st Century. They are needed to tackle the "LONE WOLF FACTORIES" run by some nations. To fight such an enemy , one needs precision guided weapons with total accuracy to avoid collateral damage. Missiles, drones and WsMD (Weapons of Mass Destruction) are going to play important role in such a future war, which would be less dependent upon human beings but technology. 
The three wings of the armed forces of a nation would have to undergo dynamic changes. Nations, aspiring to be world powers, would have to pay more attention to their Navies. Domination of ocean not only provides alternative launch pads against your adversaries but it also provides flexibility in order to enhance the range, accuracy and lethality of your weapon systems. Thereafter "Space Arm Force", ( SAF) such as Missiles / Drone ( Erstwhile Airforce) needs to be given priority. In short, the manned aircrafts and "dog battles" in the air will not be preferred mode of space wars. Interceptor missiles such as BARAK and PATRIOT, capable of destroying incoming missiles and drones hundreds KMs away will dominate future wars. Finally, the land forces, would be more oriented towards sub- conventional warfare (SCW). Role of tanks and arty guns would be limited to border management of war. Highly mobile but NBC protected mechanized vehicles would replace elephant - like heavy armoured vehicles In fact, "Heptrized Force" may replace Armoured or mechanized forces.
All this does not mean infantry would be redundant. You would require it to hold the ground to show occupation. Here Infantry might get involved in sub- conventional conflicts with defeated enemy. Infantry soldiers have to learn to be individualized. Future foot soldiers would be smart soldiers capable of taking on the "Lone wolves". They will be "customized" to take on "enemy" independently anywhere in the world. Covert operations would be the highlights of customized wars of the future. To sum it up, CUSTOMIZED WARS of future would need Customized Smart Soldiers with Customized weapon systems. Gulf wars of 1991 and 2003 gave first glimpses of customized wars. Drone war in Afghanistan and Iraq has taken the story beyond the Knowledge era to "Cosmic Age". Space would be the new Combat Zone.

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Monday, August 15, 2016

QCCM PACT BY CHINA, PAK, AFGHANISTAN AND TAJAKISTAN ---- AND INDIA

QCCM (Quadrilateral Cooperation and Coordination Mechanism on Counter Terrorism by China , Pakistan , Afghanistan and Tajakistan) --- A THREAT  TO INDIAN INTERESTS IN AFGHANISTAN 

While Indian political parties, both ruling and opposition, were  drum beating about merits of GST (Good and Services Tax) and the world was focussed on Rio Olympic Games; Pakistan and China have played  a master stroke in Afghanistan. On 03 August 2016, in Uramqui, a Chinese city of XinJiang  province, Army Chiefs of four nations met to sign a Quadrilateral Cooperation And Coordination treaty on Counter Terrorism.(QCCM). The four countries are: China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajakistan. Whatever its openly pronounced objectives by China and Pakistan, it is a smart move by them to wean away Afghanistan from Indian influence  and thus marginalise India in Afghanistan. This is a back door method used by Pakistan. Of ourse, China is making all out efforts to Isolate India by such pacts. 

To understand the significance of this four nation pact, we got to have a look around Afghanistan and the regional geography. Afghanistan is hemmed in by Iran on the West; Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan in the North; POK (Pakistan Occupied Kashmir) in the North East and Pakistan on the South and South East.  Roping in Tajikistan in this pact is to insulate Afghanistan from the North East and deny entry to other players from North East. India has no significant ties with Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Geography of Afghanistan is such that India has no direct access to it. To enter Afghanistan, India has to go through her neighbors in the West( Iran)  and her neighbors in the North. With Tajikistan, enticed into QCCM, only countries left are Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.  Therefore, it is time for India to develop some good relations with these two former Soviet states. In fact,  Uzbeks are a targeted minority by Taliban in Afghanistan and Turkmenistan has solid interest in Uighur Muslim insurgency in the Xinjiang province of China. Xinjiang is also called Eastern Turkmenistan.

What is more significant is that mineral rich Baluchistan adjoins Afghanistan in the South East and this is where much talked about Gawador port is there, where China has taken control to develop an international har our. China has taken upon itself to spend $ 46 billion to develop an economic corridor of 3000 KMs , called CPEC (China Pakistan Economic Corridor).  It goes without saying that herein lay the strategic and economic interests of China. Further, 300 miles East of Gawador, lay the Chabahar port of Iran, whereby India has signed a deal with Iran and Afghanistan  to develop the port and the oil pipe line from Iran. QCCM agreement is to fracture this deal and keep India away. 

Surprisingly, while Afghanistan blames Pakistan for all terrorist activities in Afghanistan; it is not understood as to how Afghan National Army Chief, General Qadam Shamimi Shah got into a pact with Pakistan on Counter Terrorism? Does she think that Pakistan will stop Haqqani Network operations in Afghanistan? The purpose of this pact is to covertly wean away Afghanistan from India's influence and establish a Pakistan friendly government in Afghanistan. May be some kind of a military coup be orchestrated later!. 

This ought to be a serious concern to Indian defence planners, who must evaluate its impact on  India's national Interests. Primary aim of Pakistan is to bring Afghanistan under its wings and remove threat-in-being from Afghanistan, which can throw into doldrums its Kashmir action plan. It has been desperately trying for a re- entry into Afghan military space and it has made an attempt through QCCM. It would, thus, deny a strategic launch pad to India and curtail its military maneuverability. 

QCCM pact will throw Indo-Iran Chabahar port deal into jeopardy. This is the monster in this deal for India. In the long run, if India gets out of Chabahar, the oil flow to India would be restricted with serious military and strategic implications for India. May be, this speaks of an urgency for India to start thinking about a stronger navy, capable of safeguarding its interests in the Arabian Sea.  However, not only media but even our politicians and soldiers do not realise as to how seriously it affects India's national interests. This is also a threat to Ashgar Ghani Presidency in Afghanistan. At some stage, Afghan National Army will be infiltrated and rest can be anticipated in terms of attempt for military coup to install a favourable regime.  
 
These are such desperate measures by Pakistan to marginalize India in Afghanistan. Ilhan Niaz, a noted Pakistani scholar and a professor of History at Quaid-i-Azam University, made it clear for everyone to know that Pakistan can not afford to have a hostile Afghanistan. In his article in a Pakistani Daily, The Dawn, of December 13, 2009,  he wrote:
"---------For Pakistan there can be no exit strategy from the Afghan quagmire. The double policy to the extent it could be sustained meant that no matter who won in Afghanistan Pakistan could claim to have helped the winning side---"

The 'double policy' he talked  about was for USA/NATO on one side and 'Afghan Taliban' (Supported by Pakistan) on the other. Both are on the different ends of a fulcrum which Pakistan wants to be. It is akin to riding two boats. As long as it was a 'stunt' in the stormy waters of a river called Afghanistan, it was fine. But it could not last for ever. Once the "geostrategic 'current' became  a 'rapid', the "stuntman"  lost the balance. USA , today has its eyes focused on China. It no more sees Pakistan as a strategic partner. US focus is on South China Sea, where China is flexing its muscles. Thus orphaned Pakistan has fallen into the laps of China, who is exploiting her for own global objectives and interests. Pakistan can do anything which gives her control of Afghanistan, even at peril to her own interests- an emotional obsession of a nation gone crazy. 

General Kiyani, former Chief of Pakistan Army, had once categorically stated that in any future dispensation for Afghanistan, Pakistan does not want any role for India. Pakistan had then advocated a patch up between USA and 'Good Afghan Taliban" so as to allow USA/ NATO  to peacefully execute exit policy. But Pakistan played a double game hunting with the hound and running with the hare. Finally, USA priorities shifted to China, who was influencing Pakistan. USA understood  and realised the pitfall of ignoring this double game of Pakistan and it has now tilted towards India. USA has openly stated that it would continue its presence in Afghanistan till 2020. The primary reason is Chinese presence in Balichistan and Gwador. This provides India ample opportunities to dig deep in Afghanistan.

Why does Pakistan want India to be excluded. Answer is very simple. As stated earlier, Indian presence in Afghanistan denies the very STRATEGIC DEPTH Pakistan seeks in a pliable Afghanistan. It therefore curtails its advantage of 'nuclear blackmail' of India in a conventional war. Its Full Spectrum Deterrence (FSD) nuclear strategy to use smaller yield nuclear weapons against Conventional Indian force has an inherent flaw that it would invite a full scale Indian nuclear response. General's of Pakistan Army think they can seek sanctuaries in Afghanistan in such an eventuality. This is why pliable regime in Afghanistan is very crucial in their scheme of things. 

Further, the rugged and mountainous terrain of Afghanistan provides not only training grounds for the so called "STRATEGIC ASSETS" of Pakistan but they can be also kept outside the striking range of India both by air and ground operation. Pre-9/11, Pakistan had used Afghanistan for training Kashmiri militants. Unfortunately for Pakistan 9/11 turned tables on them. 

Besides, Indian presence in Afghanistan provides India an opportunity to play similar dirty games in Waziristan, Swat, FATA and Baluchistan as does Pakistan in Indian Kashmir, Punjab and North East. These are her basic fears because it would not be able to use her strategic asset effectively. The cries about RAW are getting loud in Pakistani Media while they think ISI activities are legitimate . Has anyone told them that TIT FOR TAT is the known principle between two enemies. Pakistan knows that it would  pay for its " Kashmir - Irrationality" if India digs into Afghanistan. Pakistani public too, does not realize that 2016 is not 1947; a lot of water has flown through Indus River since. Reality of 2016 does not dawn upon most Pakistanis. They continue to believe their selfish Generals. Prime Minister Narender Modi's reminder to Pakistan on 15 August 2016, from the ramparts of Red Fort is a warning which Pakistan must realize that WOM can be two way traffic, too. 

Where does China fit in?  It too does not want India anywhere near Afghanistan. The reasons are many. Pakistan portion of Balochistan is rich in oil and natural gas and also in mineral deposits such as Iron Ore,  Coal, Gold, Copper, Zinc. QCCM would keep India away it will provide access to China to this mineral wealth. Most commentators think that other than access to  warm water Gwadar port on the Arabian Sea, China is interested in the rich mineral deposits which it can exploit once it gets her foot in. This is why CPEC . 

CPEC agreement allows China to control the oil trade from Persian Gulf countries to rest of the world. Thus, it would become a great player in the region. Flow of oil and its regulation through Gawador port would affect many a world economies, particularly Asia and Africa.   Besides, It cuts down a distance of over 12000 Kms for its oil tankers through Indian Ocean and various choke points on the sea lanes. In return , China has offered only three power plants which run with outmoded coal technology. The development of Gwador port is for its own benefit. Pakistan will be spending a huge amount for the protection of this corridor. It is a win win situation for China. Any interference here by India through her presence in Afghanistan, would affect her future designs of world domination.

It must be noted that 10-15000troops of China are already in Gilgit Hunza area under this agreement. In real terms Pakistan is handing over sovereignty of Baluchistan to China. This is also a major resentment of the local people. Military presence of China in GILGIT- HUNZA region, threatens, Ladakh in a double Chinese pincer to slice of Ladakh. India has to thus tie down China in Baluchistan. 

It is these reasons stated above that QCCM agreement is taken care of by India and watch the developments in Afghan National Army. ISI of Pakistan and China will desperately try to throw off Ashraf Ghani Presidency. To conclude : India's presence in Afghanistan is a thorn in the flesh of Pakistan. It not only denies Pakistan her much desired "Strategic Depth" but also opens up an option for India to launch WOM (War by Other Means) into Pakistan''s tribal areas, as a tit for tat action for her Kashmir strategy. Besides, China and Pakistan are also worried about their CPEC ( China Pakistan Economic Corridor) programme which seeks $46 billion commitment  by China to spend for the  economic growth of a 3000 km Corridor running through Gilgit- Baltistan ( POK); Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtoonqkhwa (KPK)  to port of Gwador on the Persisn Gulf. Thus, control of Afghanistan is paramount in the scheme of this QCCM pact. A military coup by compromised Afghan National Army might be attempted in next  eight to twelve months. India be warned. 


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Thursday, August 11, 2016

BALUCHISTAN INSURGENCY AND WHAT ELSE INDIANS DO ONT KNOW ?



BALUCHISTAN INSURGENCY & WHAT ELSE INDIANS DO NOT KNOW  ABOUT IT ?  . 

Baluchistan (old Kalat State) and Jammu & Kashmir are the two princely states of Pre-independence British India, who are victims of Pakistan's high handedness and "Islamic arrogance", based on Two Nation Theory, disproved and ridiculed by the separation of Bangla Desh from Pakistan. No doubts, Kashmir and Baluchistan, .in 1947, were the two Muslim Majority states and they continue to be so even today.. But unbridgeable cleavage exists in 1947 and 2016. Even then, though, they were not the automatic votaries of Pakistan, as today's Pakistani rulers continue to advocate and believe. The problem of Pakistan is its inability to  come out of this emotional abyss it has fallen into, even after 69 years of its existence. Its Pan - Islamic dream of the world has much to answer for its modern plight. It lost Bangla Desh in 1971 and now selling sovereignty of Baluchistan to China through much hyped CPEC (China Pakistan Economic Corridor).  To be very frank, CPEC is a "Strategic Condom" of China to enjoy Baluchistan's mineral richness without impregnating it. Pakistan has acted as a broker. 

To understand this, we ought to know that in 1947, there were two types of India.  One was British India, directly under the British government of Great Britain; other was India of 562 Princely States, governed by Indian Princes, under British Paramountcy Pacts, which enjoyed some autonomy. J&K and Kalat Khannate (Present day Pakistan's Baluchistan) were two such princely states governed by British Paramountcy pacts with the rulers. Indian Independence Act passed by British Parliament in June 1947, while divided British India into two dominions,  I.e India and Pakistan; it allowed 562 princely states two options:  one, either to join India or Pakistani; two, stay independent. Accordingly, if by 15 August, any of the princely states did not join either of the two dominions, it would stay as an independent country. 

Accordingly, Kalat State (Present day Baluchistan) and J&K did not join either of the two dominions and became independent. Thus, Kalat state, which had its own parliament of two houses, passed a resolution and declared independence on 11 August 1947. 

J&K refused to join any dominion but offered a still agreement to India and Pakistan. India refused to accept this, while Pakistan signed it. In spite of this Stand - Still Agreement with J&K, Pakistan attacked it ion 22 October 1947, disguising its army units, as tribal raiders. They were led by Maj General Akbar Khan of Pakistan army who masqueraded as Gen Tariq Ali.  Maharaja Hari Singh, then ruler of J&K asked for Indian military help, which was provided after Maharaja Hari Singh signed accession document, making J&K legal Part of India. 

However, Baluchistan ( Kalat State) had become independent on 11 August 1947 and remained so  till 08  April 1948, when military operation by Pakistan army forced the ruler of Kalat to sign the accession document, which the Khan of Kalat did under duress. Though it had acceded , but Pakistan had no political and military control over Baluchistan ever. It has been in continuous state of revolt since 1948. It does not accept Pakistani Nationality, as is evident from Al Zajira video in the end. Surprisingly, the accession to India by J&K is being questioned by Pakistan, while accession to Pakistan by Kalat State has not been questioned by India. It was biggest blunder of Indian government. Nehru, Indian Prime Minister, was probably too deeply guided by Gandhian Moralities and exploited by Lord Mountbatten. 

The same blunder was committed by then Indian Government  in NWFP (KPK---- Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa). In fact , an incident had taken place when Prime Minister JL Nehru  of Interim Indian Government, disallowed Congress voters of NWFP   ( people of KPK had elected a congress government in the province in June 1946) to vote in the referendum to say whether to  join  India or Pakistan.  His reasons for asking Congressmen not to participate  are unknown till date. But because of this decision there was a lot of resentment amongst nationalistic Palhtoons. An incident took place whereby Nehru was almost slapped by one Major Mehar  Dil Mehshud of South Wazirstan, for not allowing congress and Khudai Khidmatgar to vote.  He was saved by British Resident. See my article at the link:--/  (http://creative.sulekha.com/nehru-s-blunders-stopping-nwfp-north-west-frontier-province-from-joining-india_600451_blog) 

Ever since 1948, there have been three uprisings in Balochistan in 1958; 1973-78 and 2005. The last one has been carrying on since the killing of Baloch leader Akbar Bugti by Pakistan Army under Pervez Mushareff. It has been 68 years of discontent and unacceptability of Pakistan's suzerainty in over Balochistan by the people. We must know certain other facts about Balochistan as highlighted in succeeding Paras. 

1. Baloch, as an ethnic community, is divided into three countries I.e. Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iran. 

2. In size, Iranian Baluchistan is largest with over 2.5 lakh sq Kms which includes two provinces of Iran i.e,  Sisten and Baluchistan. Population of this region is around 2.2 millions or 22 Lakhs. 

3. Pakistani Baluchistan is around 1.32 lakh sq KMs but has the largest population around 75-80 Lakhs. This portion has never accepted Pakistan's suzerainty since it was forcibly annexed in 1948. 

4. Afghan portion of Baluchistan includes districts of Kandhar and Nimruz. It's population is around 6 Lakhs. 

5. Besides them, a sizeable Baloch population of around 5 Lakhs is in OMAN. 

6. It would be interesting to note that Gwadar Port of Southern Baluchistan of Pakistan was part of SULTANATE of OMAN till 1958. It was purchased by Pakistan. 

7. Pakistan portion of Balochistan is rich in oil and natural gas and also in mineral deposits such as Iron Ore, Gold, Copper, Zinc. Most commentators think that other than access to  warm water Gwadar port on the Arabian Sea, China is interested in the rich mineral deposits which it can exploit once it gets her foot in. This is why CPEC . 

.8. CPEC agreement allows China to control the oil trade from Persian Gulf countries to rest of the world . besides cutting down a distance of 12000 Kms for its oil tankers through Indian Ocean and various choke points on the sea lanes. In return , China has offered only three power Points run with outmoded coal technology. The development of Gwador port is for its own benefit. Pakistan will be spending a huge amount for the protection of this corridor. 

9. It must be noted that 10-15000 troops of China are already in Gilgit Hunza area under this agreement. In real terms Pakistan is handing over sovereignty of Baluchistan to China. This is also a major resentment of the local people. 

10. Insurgency and Freedom movement in Baluchistan has been simmering since 1958  and it has reached a point of NO RETURN for Pakistan. Some observers feel that it was a deliberate ploy by Pakistan Army to hand  it over to China as it did in the case of 5180 Sq KMs of AKSAI CHIN of POK in 1963. What it can not control it disposed off, while keeps the general public emotionally charged about Kashmir. 

11. History of Baloch dates back to pre- Indus Civilisation. Mehargarh has traces of human habitation dating back to 6-7000 BC. Most commentators think the word Baloch is a derivation from Meluluha or Sanskrit root Malechha. The local folk lore says they had come from Lazuli in Syria. It would be interesting to note that Indus Valley civilisation was spread right upto Syria. The traces of Barhui language has resemblance to Priti- Dravidian Tamil language. Anyway , let us revert to present times. 

12. A You tube video report by Bureau Chief of Alzazira TV channel on Baluchistan insurgency is eye opener. Here is the link:--

https://youtu.be/KLp-_Ueg0dc

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QUETTA HOSPITAL BLAST : PAKISTAN ON THE BOIL

QUETTA KILLING : PAKISTAN ON THE BOIL

Quetta Terrorist attack on 08 August 2016, has brought to the fore the ongoing war between Nawaz Sharief and General Raheel Sharief. The primary reason is the kickback dividends arising out of CPEC ( China PAkistan Economic Corridor). According to this agreement, China has committed to spend $46 billion to develop this 3000 kms long corridor, stretching from Kashghar in Xinjiang province of Western China through GILGIT - HUNJA of POK to Gwador sea port on the Arabian Sea in Balochistan. But most critics think it was only transfer of outdated technologies and techniques by China. Some say that China was going to take control of Balochistan, which is very rich in Oil & Natural gas along with rich mineral deposits such as Gold, Iron Ore, copper, etc. Whatever, control of CPEC has become a bone of contention between Civil Govt and Pakistan Army. This is also being resented by people of Balochistan and as such Quetta Blast. Army believes this is the reason for terrorist attack.

We must know that Balochistan has been fighting for independence since 08 April 1948, when it was forcibly merged with Pakistan. The Khan of Kalat (Present province of Balochistan) was forced to sign the Accession document on 08 April 1948, though both the houses of Kalat Parliament had declared independence in 11 August 1947. How strange accession of Kashmir to India is not considered legal, while Accession of Kalat is! Government of India, should bring it out. We must note that Balochistan was independent for Eight months before it was annexed by Pakistan. Freedom movement since then has been going on.

If one listens to Pakistani commentators on Quetta blasts, some of them are blaming it as Failure of Army. Some are pointing fingers at Nawaj Sharief Government. It is also claimed it might have been engineered to divert attention from Panama Papers, where Nawaj Sharief's relatives are blamed for money laundering. However, there is a view point that General Raheel Sharief , COAS of Pakistan Army, does not like Prime Minister Nawaj Sharief's closeness to Narender Modi, Prime Minister of India. He wants Panama Papers leak investigations. He has to retire in Nivember 2016, which Nawaj Sharief does not want him to do so. It seems, some days back there were posters in 13 cities of Pakistan, urging General Sharief not to retire. Most political commentators think it to be an army job. There is, thus, an internal fight, which might have led to this Quetta blast. The way Kashmir issue has been blown up by Nawaj Sharief, he might be wanting army to get involved with Indian army .

But most of the Pakistani vernacular press are towing the line of Pakistan Army to day that Quetta incident was the job of Indian RAW. Such an proof less prejudging points towards a more sinister game being played by the Army. It is very interesting that without any investigations, they have conveniently blamed RAW. Chief Minister of Balochistan blamed RAW within an hour of the incident and Army is also blaming RAW. So what is going on?

While blaming RAW for blasts in Quetta , Pakistanis are forgetting as to what they were doing in Indian Kashmir. PM of Pakistan declared a Kashmiri terrorist as a Martyr and ordered observing of Black Day in Pakistan on July 19,2016. He now goes on to become the voice of OPPRESSED PEOPLE OF KASHMIR. Then, let India and Narender Modi become the voice of the oppressed people of Balochistan. Let Akbar Bugti, killed by General Mushareff in 2007, be declared as Martyr. Obviously, it is tit for that. India might not do it but this is expected as a return gift.

Pakistan's military planners and Politicians do not realise that having spent more than 3 trillion dollars on Kashmir since 1947, India can not afford to lose Kashmir. They do not understand if Kashmir was India's weak spot then, Sindh, Balochistan and KPK are Pakistan's vulnerabilities. If Pakistan wants to support Kashmiri movement then why should it cry if India does for Sindh and Balochistan.

Unfortunately, Pakistan's General's are only interested in perpetuating their hold over Pakistan. They can not see beyond their noses. They sell Pakistan to foreign bidders. First it was USA and now it is China , who use it as a STRATEGIC CONDOM.

Logic demands that 2016 can not be 1947. A lot of water has flown in the Indus since 1947. Pakistan and its General's must realise the ground realities. They must stop this swan song on Kashmir and get down to developing its country.

In any case, they must understand that Globalised world is heading for a border less concept where, city states would emerge as the intra dependent economical nodes. Over the next 50 -70 years concept of the nation state would be dead. They can continue to make their life miserable for something which will never be theirs,

Post "knowledge and Information Age", mankind is pushing into Cosmic era, where today's "continent hopping" would be replaced by "Galaxy hopping". Religious and geographical boundaries would have NO meaning then. It is time to make your people capable of hitching on to Cosmic Era band wagon rather than fighting for dead concepts of 19th Century.

To think of fighting a nuclear war and taking away Kashmir is the most idiotic thought. If and when Nuclear war takes place, survivors would envy the dead. Perhaps, General's of Pakistan and the media commentators of Pakistan have not educated the people on the catastrophe of a nuclear war. One 12 KT Bomb had killed 70,000 people and 2 Lakhs became living dead. The Little Boy ( Hiroshima) and the Fat Man ( Naga Saki) seemToys today. The lethality of modern bombs is much more. So let us talk sense and face reality.

Finally, my own interpretation is that internal conflict of Pakistan might turn into an Indo- Pak skirmish. India should be ready for it. Pakistan Army has been able to fool the general public on Quetta Blast. A normal man in Pakistan should think, why should not India do same to Pakistan what she does to India? Always crying for Bangla Desh would not take Pakistan anywhere. It was a geographical accident of 1947, which got corrected in 1971. India and others were mere actors. No body can destroy Pakistan, unless it wants to be. Hope good senses prevail.

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