DELHI ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS 2015-------- TWISTS AND TURNS !
Voting for Delhi assembly elections is due on February 07,2015. Results are to be announced on Feb 10, 2015. Results would decide as to who was going to be the next Chief Minister of Delhi, I.e. Kiran Bedi or Arvind Kejriwal. It could be neither, too, because pollsters are predicting a close finish and it might turn up as a hung assembly once more. If so, it would be an electoral journey from nowhere to nowhere. Such are the turns and twists in Delhi elections that they make it more melodramatic and romantic. The run up to elections is very very interesting.
Initially, BJP had an advantage and edge but latest predictions show that AAP has closed the gap and votes share of the two parties are placed around 34-35%.------ BJP coming down from 50% vote share from the parliamentary elections of 2014, when it had won 60 out of 70 assembly seats and AAP had won only 10 seats . Congress was a total wash out. It is now asserted by Shekhar Gupta of Indian Express if Congress vote share goes below15% then AAP is the sure winner in these elections. This he stated on the NDTV on February 03, 2015.
It seems Congress votes have shifted to AAP and it is NO more a player in Delhi. One wonders if INDIA's LIBERATION from CONGRESS RULE has begun from India's capital. Unfortunately, for congress, there is NO charismatic leaders like INDRA GANDHI or Sanjay Gandhi , who could resurrect it , like it was done in 1980, after the 1977 debacle. Its win in Parliamentary elections in 1985 was because of a sympathy wave and NOT because of the dynamism of Rajiv Gandhi.
While congress might have suffered because of unabated corruption during its 10 years rule under the dispensation of SONIA GANDHI and Man Mohan Singh , the question comes to mind is whether it's alternative AAP is any better. It is a fact that Congress might have got corrupted with 56 years of her rule out of 67 years, but AAP is showing signs of corruption even before it has come to power. Just two days back it has been accused by her break away group AVAM ( AAP Volunteer Action Manch) for accepting HAWALA MONEY DONATIONS from dubious sources.
It is a known fact that a lot of Gulf money is rolling in through Hawala route in India. Some even suggest that ISI of PAKISTAN is funding some of the political outfits in India through ARAB Countries route to ensure weak central and state governments to retard its progress and cause disunity. The rise of Narender Modi as a single party leader on the Indian horizon has struck the alarm bells in the Middle East, China and Pakistan. It is NOT Narender Modi they rue but the single party rule which can take harsh decisions in the best interests of the country. India has wasted 25 years since 1989 because of "KHICHDI GOVERNMENTS " those ruled India.
It won't be a surprise that some of the new political outfits with dubious credentials of its leaders might be financed by foreign agencies to ensure the weakening of Indian polity. It is already known that most of Indian media , particularly ENGLISH language media has vested foreign interests in India. Some of the known TV news channels like IBN7, NDTV, AAJ TAK, HEAD LINES TODAY and ABN News have more than required sympathies with AAP. It seems they want AAP to come out winner.
In a way, victory of AAP in Dehli is desirable, as it would ensure that BJP remains firmed to the ground. The victory in Dehli would make BJP arrogant and disconnect it from the masses. BJP needs a shock treatment and Dehli alone can give it. The reason for this is the fact that it has been deviating from its stated promises. It has almost forgotten about its tall promises of "Black money Repatriation", OROP promise to ex servicemen, prosecution of Robert Vadra and corruption minimization.
In fact, Narender Modi and other BJP big wigs, are busy in photo ops-----mere gimmicks and NOT real actions. A Rs Seven Lakh suit, with his name as pin stripes, worn by Narender Modi, during the visit of President BH OBAMA of USA, is a clear expression of arrogance and power going to the head of a "Chaiwala". He has definitely digressed from his stated path. All the same it is too early to make a comment on his performance. But morning shows the shadow of the sun. Therefore "Dehli -Shock" is a must for Narender Modi to retrace his steps backwards.
Let me in advance give reasons for BJP failing to hit the finishing line before AAP. I suspect AAP victory because BJP has blundered on many accounts------ firstly, it has turned its biggest constituency against itself by dilly dallying on OROP. You see ESM might not have more votes but they influence the minds of general public. To me, Arun Jaitley has been the key figure in misguiding Modi on this. Secondly, BjP had forgotten about its promises on black money repatriation. It was making all sort of stories. MODI's advisors should have known about all these laws and rules before making big promises.
Thirdly, it is obvious that BJP victory in states after states had gone into the head of NOT only BJJP but also Natender Modi------ arrogance was visible during Obama visit. His Rs 7 LAKHsuit displayed this arrogance. He seems to be getting disconnected from ground realities . Fourthly, to announce Kiran Bedi as a presumptive CM candidate was a biggest strategic blunder. It was an admission that Delhi BJP leaders were either dishonest and corrupt or they lacked leadership qualities. The fifth reason for its loss in Delhi Election would be disunity in Dehli BJP . There are enough under currents. This is my advance prediction. If it still wins, it will be 8th wonder of the world but harmful for the nation because MODI will turn a dictator. He needs a shocker to come down to Mother Earth, which only Delhi could give him.
The victory of AAP in Delhi would give no solace to Delhites. Arvind Kejriwal and his lieutenants are not known to be good administrators. They belong to kind of people who can be good opposition leaders. What is worse is the fact that Arvind Kejriwal lacks the principal trait of leadership I.e. DECISIVENESS. On the drop of a hat , he thinks of consensus and referendum , which is a time wasting tactics. If leaders have to run on remote control of Parties, then those who voted for him would be the sufferers.
Besides, Delhi government has nothing under its control other than daily routine matters. Law and order and police are with the union government. Financially, it is at the mercy of centre. It has hardly any industry of its own. Ironically, it is dependent on HARYANA ( BJP ) state for its drinking water. It produces no electricity of its own and electricity distribution companies are controlled by private business who can be tail twisted by the central government.
Overall, while in the national interest, BJP needs a shock treatment but it would harm the Dehlites, who would rue the day they elected Arvind Kejriwal and his party to rule them. This is the irony of the Delhi elections because losers are no losers and gainers are no gainers. It seems after AAP victory in Delhi, it's ordeals would begin and the pandora box of its foreign financial funding through dubious means, so far blanked from public gauge would come out in the public domain.
Its recent writing to Supreme Court of India to appoint a SIT ( Special Investigation Team) on AVAM disclosures is clear indication of admission of its guilt. It is approaching the SC only to buy time before Delhi elections. AAP has been accusing others of dishonesty and now it's own ugly face has been exposed by its own members, who knew inside stories. It is a different matter that it has blamed AVAM as BJP agents who are smearing the good name of AAP. What is good , if on a single night you accepted four Cheques, 50 LAKHS each, from some unknown source and you don't even wince interest to know who was the donor, while you say you give account of even Rs five taken as donation from a rickshaw walla?
There is a mind boggling mutiliation in their real face and the masked face. At least, they must tell the world as to how did the cheques land up with the party ? We're they delivered by hand? If so, who was he? Did they come through mail? What was the postal address? Asking for SC to investigate the case is to put the matter in a deep freezer for two to three years or even five years. There is a suspicion that it was "HAWALA " money which had come to it from Middle East.
AAP might win Delhi elections because of its known proximity as well as Muslim voters preference and rising hopes of the poor slum dwellers but the accusation of "Hawala Money" sticks, despite its cries against BJP and appeal to SC to investigate. This call to SC is too late to exonerate it of the crime, it should have done so in April 2014 , when it received the cheques. Being an ex IRS officer, Arvind Kejriwal is not a child not to know its source and dubious nature. It's a poor attempt now to mask its financial bungling. In fact it is a clear mockery of Indian Law. Supreme Court should take cognizance of this Tom foolery by AAP.
Perhaps, many more are seemingly in the pipe line by AVAM group. AAP's governance of Delhi would be life less and full of self organized, "Dharnas", "Sit-in agitations" and protest- marches with no respite for Delhites from price rise, whopping water- electricity bills or even rapes and molestation of their women. My heart goes for Delhites because voting for BJP would harm national interests and voting for AAP harms their own interests. What they prefer would be known on only on February 10, 2015.
THINK BIG, ACT BIG;
THINK +VE, ACT +VE
Voting for Delhi assembly elections is due on February 07,2015. Results are to be announced on Feb 10, 2015. Results would decide as to who was going to be the next Chief Minister of Delhi, I.e. Kiran Bedi or Arvind Kejriwal. It could be neither, too, because pollsters are predicting a close finish and it might turn up as a hung assembly once more. If so, it would be an electoral journey from nowhere to nowhere. Such are the turns and twists in Delhi elections that they make it more melodramatic and romantic. The run up to elections is very very interesting.
Initially, BJP had an advantage and edge but latest predictions show that AAP has closed the gap and votes share of the two parties are placed around 34-35%.------ BJP coming down from 50% vote share from the parliamentary elections of 2014, when it had won 60 out of 70 assembly seats and AAP had won only 10 seats . Congress was a total wash out. It is now asserted by Shekhar Gupta of Indian Express if Congress vote share goes below15% then AAP is the sure winner in these elections. This he stated on the NDTV on February 03, 2015.
It seems Congress votes have shifted to AAP and it is NO more a player in Delhi. One wonders if INDIA's LIBERATION from CONGRESS RULE has begun from India's capital. Unfortunately, for congress, there is NO charismatic leaders like INDRA GANDHI or Sanjay Gandhi , who could resurrect it , like it was done in 1980, after the 1977 debacle. Its win in Parliamentary elections in 1985 was because of a sympathy wave and NOT because of the dynamism of Rajiv Gandhi.
While congress might have suffered because of unabated corruption during its 10 years rule under the dispensation of SONIA GANDHI and Man Mohan Singh , the question comes to mind is whether it's alternative AAP is any better. It is a fact that Congress might have got corrupted with 56 years of her rule out of 67 years, but AAP is showing signs of corruption even before it has come to power. Just two days back it has been accused by her break away group AVAM ( AAP Volunteer Action Manch) for accepting HAWALA MONEY DONATIONS from dubious sources.
It is a known fact that a lot of Gulf money is rolling in through Hawala route in India. Some even suggest that ISI of PAKISTAN is funding some of the political outfits in India through ARAB Countries route to ensure weak central and state governments to retard its progress and cause disunity. The rise of Narender Modi as a single party leader on the Indian horizon has struck the alarm bells in the Middle East, China and Pakistan. It is NOT Narender Modi they rue but the single party rule which can take harsh decisions in the best interests of the country. India has wasted 25 years since 1989 because of "KHICHDI GOVERNMENTS " those ruled India.
It won't be a surprise that some of the new political outfits with dubious credentials of its leaders might be financed by foreign agencies to ensure the weakening of Indian polity. It is already known that most of Indian media , particularly ENGLISH language media has vested foreign interests in India. Some of the known TV news channels like IBN7, NDTV, AAJ TAK, HEAD LINES TODAY and ABN News have more than required sympathies with AAP. It seems they want AAP to come out winner.
In a way, victory of AAP in Dehli is desirable, as it would ensure that BJP remains firmed to the ground. The victory in Dehli would make BJP arrogant and disconnect it from the masses. BJP needs a shock treatment and Dehli alone can give it. The reason for this is the fact that it has been deviating from its stated promises. It has almost forgotten about its tall promises of "Black money Repatriation", OROP promise to ex servicemen, prosecution of Robert Vadra and corruption minimization.
In fact, Narender Modi and other BJP big wigs, are busy in photo ops-----mere gimmicks and NOT real actions. A Rs Seven Lakh suit, with his name as pin stripes, worn by Narender Modi, during the visit of President BH OBAMA of USA, is a clear expression of arrogance and power going to the head of a "Chaiwala". He has definitely digressed from his stated path. All the same it is too early to make a comment on his performance. But morning shows the shadow of the sun. Therefore "Dehli -Shock" is a must for Narender Modi to retrace his steps backwards.
Let me in advance give reasons for BJP failing to hit the finishing line before AAP. I suspect AAP victory because BJP has blundered on many accounts------ firstly, it has turned its biggest constituency against itself by dilly dallying on OROP. You see ESM might not have more votes but they influence the minds of general public. To me, Arun Jaitley has been the key figure in misguiding Modi on this. Secondly, BjP had forgotten about its promises on black money repatriation. It was making all sort of stories. MODI's advisors should have known about all these laws and rules before making big promises.
Thirdly, it is obvious that BJP victory in states after states had gone into the head of NOT only BJJP but also Natender Modi------ arrogance was visible during Obama visit. His Rs 7 LAKHsuit displayed this arrogance. He seems to be getting disconnected from ground realities . Fourthly, to announce Kiran Bedi as a presumptive CM candidate was a biggest strategic blunder. It was an admission that Delhi BJP leaders were either dishonest and corrupt or they lacked leadership qualities. The fifth reason for its loss in Delhi Election would be disunity in Dehli BJP . There are enough under currents. This is my advance prediction. If it still wins, it will be 8th wonder of the world but harmful for the nation because MODI will turn a dictator. He needs a shocker to come down to Mother Earth, which only Delhi could give him.
The victory of AAP in Delhi would give no solace to Delhites. Arvind Kejriwal and his lieutenants are not known to be good administrators. They belong to kind of people who can be good opposition leaders. What is worse is the fact that Arvind Kejriwal lacks the principal trait of leadership I.e. DECISIVENESS. On the drop of a hat , he thinks of consensus and referendum , which is a time wasting tactics. If leaders have to run on remote control of Parties, then those who voted for him would be the sufferers.
Besides, Delhi government has nothing under its control other than daily routine matters. Law and order and police are with the union government. Financially, it is at the mercy of centre. It has hardly any industry of its own. Ironically, it is dependent on HARYANA ( BJP ) state for its drinking water. It produces no electricity of its own and electricity distribution companies are controlled by private business who can be tail twisted by the central government.
Overall, while in the national interest, BJP needs a shock treatment but it would harm the Dehlites, who would rue the day they elected Arvind Kejriwal and his party to rule them. This is the irony of the Delhi elections because losers are no losers and gainers are no gainers. It seems after AAP victory in Delhi, it's ordeals would begin and the pandora box of its foreign financial funding through dubious means, so far blanked from public gauge would come out in the public domain.
Its recent writing to Supreme Court of India to appoint a SIT ( Special Investigation Team) on AVAM disclosures is clear indication of admission of its guilt. It is approaching the SC only to buy time before Delhi elections. AAP has been accusing others of dishonesty and now it's own ugly face has been exposed by its own members, who knew inside stories. It is a different matter that it has blamed AVAM as BJP agents who are smearing the good name of AAP. What is good , if on a single night you accepted four Cheques, 50 LAKHS each, from some unknown source and you don't even wince interest to know who was the donor, while you say you give account of even Rs five taken as donation from a rickshaw walla?
There is a mind boggling mutiliation in their real face and the masked face. At least, they must tell the world as to how did the cheques land up with the party ? We're they delivered by hand? If so, who was he? Did they come through mail? What was the postal address? Asking for SC to investigate the case is to put the matter in a deep freezer for two to three years or even five years. There is a suspicion that it was "HAWALA " money which had come to it from Middle East.
AAP might win Delhi elections because of its known proximity as well as Muslim voters preference and rising hopes of the poor slum dwellers but the accusation of "Hawala Money" sticks, despite its cries against BJP and appeal to SC to investigate. This call to SC is too late to exonerate it of the crime, it should have done so in April 2014 , when it received the cheques. Being an ex IRS officer, Arvind Kejriwal is not a child not to know its source and dubious nature. It's a poor attempt now to mask its financial bungling. In fact it is a clear mockery of Indian Law. Supreme Court should take cognizance of this Tom foolery by AAP.
Perhaps, many more are seemingly in the pipe line by AVAM group. AAP's governance of Delhi would be life less and full of self organized, "Dharnas", "Sit-in agitations" and protest- marches with no respite for Delhites from price rise, whopping water- electricity bills or even rapes and molestation of their women. My heart goes for Delhites because voting for BJP would harm national interests and voting for AAP harms their own interests. What they prefer would be known on only on February 10, 2015.
THINK BIG, ACT BIG;
THINK +VE, ACT +VE
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